Sunday 28 July 2013

The India Series: A One Way Street

This blog began the India Series with the saying  India can best be described as the place where you need to look both ways before crossing a one way street. This post looking at the broad economy of India will continue with this theme. 

Economically, India belongs to a group of nations known by the acronym BRIC. The acronym stands for Brazil, Russia, India and China; four nations that are emerging on the international scene as global economic powers. A one way street economy has emerged, as Indian foreign investment is slowly drying up due to political wrangling resulting in deteriorating infrastructure. Definitionally, this blog will state a one way street in terms of foreign investment means following the long bureaucratic rules of Indian government without anyway around.
Retail and Agriculture still leads to Indian economy in terms of percentage of GDP. Overall, 2013 has been a rough year for the Indian economy as growth has fallen in the banking, oil/gas, and auto sector and unexpectedly, the property sector. The Indian economy is predicted to hit a decade low of 5% GDP growth , as the 2011/2012 Industrial Sector saw a growth of only 2.9% opposed to 8.2% in 2010/2011.  According to the Indian Central Statistics Office (CSO), agricultural, manufacturing industries will both drop in terms of growth. In addition, the services sector including finance, insurance, real estate and business services are expected to grow 8.6% as opposed to 11.7% the previous year. 

Per Capita Income is set to be $1163 in 2012/2013, a nine percentage points above last years $1042. Coal, crude and oil production are all supposed to fall during the 2012/2013 year in comparison to the previous year . India has a trade deficit that is deepening as exports have fallen while imports have grown with the need for more petroleum becoming ever more present. Inflation is around 6-7% as per numbers from January 2013. Additionally, as this blog has stated before Indian foreign investment has declined. 
Problematically, India has not improved its infrastructure to foster continual economic growth. This was explained by G P Hinduja, owner of truck maker Ashok Leyland, stating that India could have capitalized on its advantage over China being a relatively large English speaking country, but the infrastructure has failed to foster proper growth conditions. India is now ranked lower than all the BRIC nations in terms of foreign investment. 

Infrastructure is failing as India already had a few blackouts that had grabbed international media attention. More than half the population of India suffers from unreliable power sources, something that Nobel Prize winning Amartya Sen has stated is detrimental to economical development:

Unlike India, China did not miss the huge lesson of Asian economic development, about the economic returns that come from bettering human lives, especially at the bottom of the socioeconomic pyramid.

Sen is not mistaken, as improving the plight of the bottom of India's population will need to be done to spur development. For foreign investors, it is a one way street as they must comply with the elite and political rules to conduct business in the country. 


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Financially and Economically, India belongs to a these group of nations. The acronym stands for Brazil, Russia, India and China; four nations that are emerging on the international scene as global economic powers. They use their financial services as a career for their nation. It's a good example for others.

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