É o
jeitinho brasileiro.
Yes,
the Brazilians are still the centerpiece of South American economic growth, yet
there are competitors arising. While Venezuala faces a period of uncertainty
with the potential replacement of Hugo Chavez, Argentina offers a renewed
challenge to the Falklands under Cristina Fernández de Kirchner. Although the other continents
are often the center of headlines, the world should be paying more attention to
the state’s often associated with terminology such as fiesta.

Interestingly, Ms. Fernández
has warned that climate change will remain a constant threat of economic growth
not just in Argentina, but globally, and has called for $1 trillion in
investments in renewable energy. In her own country, around 22% of energy is
generated through renewable technology, or so official sources say. Power has
been problematic with common outages as grid fires have become more and more
common. Manufacturing and Agriculture will continue to drive the Argentinian
economy in 2013, but struggles such as facing removal from global economic
resources after failing to meet the IMF’s deadline of producing accurate inflation
and growth statistics are worrisome. It is probable the government is manipulating
official statistics, as when Paul Singer seized a naval warship as collateral
for debts owed.
![]() |
Charming as she may be, it is adviseable Mr. Obama does what many men do to women: don't listen |
These problems have
been long coming as under Ms. Fernández Argentina has moved from a more
capitalistic society to more protectionist with more state firms while discouraging
foreign investment. This has seen union strikes, angry farmers, and what the
Deutsche Bank describes as a cash flow problem. Many experts state that if the
Soy market stays strong, as Argentina is a strong exporter, the economy could
stay afloat. However, staying afloat is not exactly progression. Ms Fernández will
have to alter state policies if she doesn’t want her legacy to be that of
failure.
Chile may be a
country to continue to watch in 2013. With fish exports totalling almost $4
billion in the last year, and the world’s largest copper reserves, Chile
continues to have strong growth. In 2010, Chile was ranked the 30th
most competitive country in the world, and the so called Chilecon Valley is a
symptom of this. Santiago has been offering programs such as $40 000 grants to
begin a business, and since the programs began over 500 companies from 37
countries have come to Chile. Although venture capital is sparse, Chile is
doing something many Western countries have not been doing lately – creating policies
to breed innovation.
President Piñera has created a
new anti poverty program entitled the Ethical Family Income, interesting for
the right wing former Senator. It transfers more budgetary flexibility to
regions that exhibit high academic scores, a tried and failed technique in the
US when George Bush Jr. introduced No Child Left Behind. However, the country
is on pace to grow another 5% in 2013, but could be threatened by soft global
demand for their exports, especially copper. Energy shortages will be another
issue, but Mr. Mr Piñera has announced infrastructure investments
through a new bill put through the Chilean congress that aims to reduce blackouts.
Overall, Chile will have some challenges in 2013, but most likely will continue
economic growth.
The quote at the beginning of the
article means “the brazilian way”. While many praised Lula’s policies on
Brazil, it is interesting to note he is under investigation for a vote buying
scheme. Nevertheless, the Brazilian way is facing stale economic growth. The
growth of the service sector has been hit hard by less loans, more defaults
meaning less hiring. Although inflation is controlled, and consumption by
households is slowly growing, Brazilian firms are faced larger tax bills in
2012. This is due to the complexity of the tax code, and gross fines should firms
not pay their fair share as fines of 75% have not been uncommon. An example
would be that of Eike Batista’s recent tax bill, equal for $1.8 billion or 90%
of his company’s (MMX) market value.
![]() |
"Privatization!" said the Lord, "only then will the World Cup be a success" |
President Dilma
Rousseff will be injecting $50
billion into the economy over the next five years and rolling back public involvement
by hoping for an increased private sector. Selling ports, airports and other
national entities to private organizations are all in the plan as expensive and
poor government management has largely been the blame to Brazil’s stalled economic
growth.
Interestingly, Brazil has called for Venezuela to hold elections should Hugo Chavez lose his battle to cancer. Signs such as Vice President
Nicholas Maduro giving the state of
nation speech could mean Hugo Chavez’s reign coming to an end in 2013 means
incredible uncertainty for the nation in the next 12 months. Nationalization of
private companies, stifling foreign investment, and using oil exports to pay
for grand social schemes have been Chavez’s legacy, along with leading the
Chavismo movement. Although the movement has accomplished many of their goals,
should the head of the snake die the rest of the body may falter.
![]() |
Cancer has done what Chavez's opposition has not: removed him from office |
Colombia will see its President continue stimulus policies
that hopefully will stimulate growth to fight sagging export markets. The IMF
states that Colombia will grow 4.5% in 2013, as more foreign investment coms to
exploit oil and coal resources. Additionally, the drug battles that has caused
countless deaths seem to be slowing, however a territorial dispute with Nicaragua
may be something to watch in 2013.
Seemingly matching the pace set by Colombia, Peru’s economy
grew around 6.3% in 2012. With cash flowing in for investments in mines, and a
construction boom, Peru is arguably South America’s fastest growing economy.
High prices for copper and gold have been a boon to Peru’s exports as mining
investments are expected to increase along with consumer demand. Finance
Minister Miguel Castilla announced the government would post a fiscal surplus
of 2%. Although this is a glowing report, many have said that corruption
remains a strong issue in Peru, or so says former prosecutor Ivan Montoya.
South America has been relatively silent in news stories due
to the frivolous stories often dominating headlines from American politics, or
European debt woes. However, it is important to show the continent has weathered the economic storm quite well, and should have a relatively successful 2013.
- Brazil will begin curbing their socialistic policies and embrace more capitalism in an effort to welcome the international community in 2014 for the World Cup. Hopefully, Ms. Fernández follows suit in Argentina and becomes less rigid in her stubbornness.
- Peru, Colombia, and Chile will all continue to have strong economic growth, although political issues such as the 2012 student riot could cause some turbulence in Chile.
- Chavismo will continue, but under a new leader. Opening doors will not occur in 2013 for Venezuela as the political will is simply not there.
- South America’s middle class outnumber the poor, and that trend will continue. Hopefully this middle class will seek better social services by demanding better service and transparency from their governments.

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